Consumer confidence is growing

8 April, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of RISMedia, Paige Tepping:

As the cold temperatures become a distant memory, and the spring selling season gains momentum, consumers have come to agree on one thing—now’s a good time to get off the fence and into the real estate market. This is the overall theme in the latest American Express Spending and Saving Tracker survey, a monthly survey that tracks the spending and saving habits of consumers in order to get an indication of what’s happening in the market. “This month’s Spending and Saving Tracker provided an up-to-date look at various consumer trends and gave us the opportunity to assess how consumers are feeling about the current market in addition to gauging homeowner confidence,” says Leah Gerstner, vice president of public affairs at American Express.

“This month’s survey points to the fact that consumers overwhelmingly feel that we are in the midst of a buyer’s market,” she adds. The data also points to the fact that a seller’s market is at least a year away, which is certainly positive news. While homeowners aren’t necessarily willing to settle for less than the asking price when selling their home, two of the biggest areas of interest in the latest survey deal with homeowners including home improvement projects on their to-do list, as well as the willingness to include concessions to get their home sold.

Home Improvements
“In looking at the results of our latest Spending and Saving Tracker survey, our thinking was that if consumers overwhelmingly view today’s market as a buyer’s market—which they do—they are likely to have plans to put more money into their home,” adds Gerstner. In fact, the survey found that about 64 percent of homeowners currently have home improvement projects on their to-do list for 2011. While the plans are in place, the amount that homeowners are budgeting to spend has gone down quite a bit from last year. “Homeowners are looking for better ways to stretch their dollars, and many are looking toward energy-efficient home improvements that will pay off in the long run.” The survey shows that among homeowners who are looking to go green, the most common items homeowners would spend their money on include energy-efficient windows and doors, insulation, roofing, heating and cooling systems as well as alternative energy systems.

Concessions
Another finding that stood out in the latest survey had to do with whether or not sellers were willing to make concessions to get their homes sold, especially in today’s market. While 44 percent of sellers were willing to give away appliances during a sale—the biggest concession among young professionals and affluent homeowners—another 28 percent said they would take care of requested repairs in order to get their home sold. “While a large majority of sellers are willing to make concessions to get their home off the market, the willingness to make concessions is down among young professionals when compared with the 2010 survey,” says Gerstner. “This is an important finding as it shows that young professionals are more confident in their ability to sell their homes today.”

“Homeowner confidence in today’s market has increased compared to last year,” says Gerstner. “In fact, the survey shows that the confidence level is pretty evenly split—42 percent of homeowners are confident they will get their asking price in today’s market, while 47 percent of homeowners aren’t that confident.” Even though home values continue to be on the low side, young professionals and affluent homeowners are seemingly more confident in today’s market.

Foreclosures get a makeover to help boost sales

29 March, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of RISMedia:

Bill Schramm and Bethany Siwicki scoured property listings for three months before agreeing to see a home in Round Lake Beach, even though its online pictures didn’t look promising.

“It looked like a piñata blew up in there,” Schramm said. Every room was a different color, and the only way to tell the carpet once had been white was looking at the furniture marks.

But the home they visited bore little resemblance to the pictures. The walls were white, new carpet had been installed, and repairs made. The recently engaged couple immediately submitted an offer and are waiting to close on their first home purchase.

Sprucing up a home to sell it faster and for more money is a strategy frequently advocated by real estate agents. In this case, though, the seller is Wells Fargo Bank, and the home Schramm and Siwicki are buying is a foreclosure.

There are still plenty of dilapidated foreclosures on the market marred by water damage, mold, broken windows and missing plumbing fixtures, properties that hold little appeal except to investors and professional rehabbers.

But as the quality of foreclosures and the communities where they are located has improved, so, too, has interest in them by consumers. To entice those buyers and lessen their inventory of real estate owned foreclosed homes, commonly known as REOs, banks are spending thousands of dollars on some foreclosures. In addition to new paint and carpet, floors are being refinished, old windows are being replaced, and leaky roofs are being repaired.

The strategy benefits the banks and home buyers, who otherwise would have trouble securing mortgages on homes that a lender could term “uninhabitable” because of needed repairs. At the same time, it helps the broader real estate market because while the foreclosures still sell at a discount, it is not at the fire sale prices of unlivable properties.

For traditional home sellers, the trend of banks plowing money into foreclosures means they will have to be more realistic in their pricing, because the foreclosure for sale down the street may look a lot more inviting to prospective buyers.

“Foreclosures used to be fewer and far between,” said Ray Millington, an agent at Century 21 Roberts & Andrews. “The problem is, we say we’ll concede that sale, but what happens when another one pops up. It becomes an ongoing thing. It’s not like you have only one in the subdivision anymore.”

Real estate agents say they are having the same conversation with banks that they have with any seller, and it starts by identifying the target customer for a property. If the answer is an owner-occupant, agents recommend fixes that can range from a few thousand dollars of paint to $25,000 of kitchen upgrades. In the past, banks rejected such suggestions, viewing them as throwing good money after bad, but now some are heeding the advice.

Last month within the city of Chicago, 207 of the 472 single-family detached homes that sold were foreclosed properties. An additional 62 were short sales, transactions in which the homeowner sells the home, with the lender’s permission, for less than the amount owed on the mortgage. Combined, distressed properties in February accounted for 57% of all single-family detached sales and 46% of all condos, according to the Chicago Association of REALTORS®.

Fannie Mae repossessed more than 262,000 single-family homes nationally last year, and as of Dec. 31, its inventory of single-family REOs was almost 163,000.

Under its “first look” program that began in September 2009, Fannie Mae will only consider offers from owner-occupants or buyers like nonprofits during the first 15 days a home is on the market. Fannie sold nearly 29,000 homes to consumers under that program during its first year.

Buyers are jumping on the best REOs, and keen interest can lead to multiple offers. “The ones that are in good shape, people are snapping those up,” said Mike Stodola, an agent at Koenig & Strey Real Living. “The ones that are left are ones that need major work.”

Despite about $30,000 in improvements, the house Schramm and Siwicki will buy for $125,000 still needs work. The couple’s first project is to remodel the kitchen. “It’s probably the most hideous livable house you’ll see, but I can fix it,” Schramm said. “Nothing even comes close to this house in terms of value per dollar. There’s a ton of houses out there that cost less than $125,000. Do I want to buy them and move into them? No.”

It’s not just the house and the neighborhood that help lenders decide whether to make presale investments. It’s also the potential risk of vandalism. “There’s no sense of putting a furnace in there if it’s going to walk away the next day,” said Abe Rabah, of Great Street Properties.

In Barrington Hills, Ill., down the street from one well-appointed home listed for $890,000, is another property, a foreclosure that went on the market at $525,000. The Tudor-style home attracted some foot traffic but no serious consideration.

The house was removed from the market and almost $20,000 of updates and repairs are being made before it’s relisted. “We’re doing everything that is going to make the property look better, but also make it financeable,” said Connie Ritchie, an agent at RE/MAX Suburban. “When you walk in now, you say this is nice and clean. This is something I can work with.”

First quarter update

11 March, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Last week I was in three sales meetings that continued to beat the negative drum about real estate and the business climate in Reno. I then was in three more meetings that could not have been more upbeat. As I said last month, if you wish to believe that the market has yet to turn around, well then you are right. For the rest of you willing to be open to new information please read on.

As I stated last month we have a tricky and rocky road ahead of us but we must never forget that our market is also very finite and we will sooner than later run out of foreclosed homes and short sales.  Again, some 50% of all homes are either free & clear or have very low loan balances. Let’s jump to the numbers and see what story the market is telling us.

January-March 2005 the market closed 780 homes in the first 60 days of the New Year.  Now fast forward to the first quarter of 2008 and we closed a mighty 372 homes! Q1 2009 and we saw 558 homes close escrow. Q1 2010 and we see 769 homes close escrow with the help of the buyer assistance program executed in 2009 pushing traffic.  So what about 2011 with no government help to push sales? January-March 2011 we saw 775 closed sales.  ONLY 5 LESS THAN 2005!

Pardon my sense of sarcasm but seriously, I am told every day by moneyed and knowledgeable people that we are hopelessly mired in our own manure.  I beg to differ with such knowledgeable people.

As of this writing there are 1,854 homes in the Reno/Sparks market for sale, which used to be nearly 3,000 when the “market adjustment” started.  But wait, how many homes are in escrow right now?  1,408 homes are pending sales.  Now before I go on I said we have a tricky and rocky road ahead of us, and we do.  Nowhere are prices stabilizing or even having a hint of growth but real estate is a long term product and never was and is not now going to show short term results.  Today’s buyers must buy for the long term (i.e. five years or more) and that should be the rule forever more, but sooner than later the tough lessons learned will be forgotten and we will see another day of runaway prices but not in this decade we can be certain of that.

Our inventory is no longer the hulking monster it once was.  Today when I show homes, my real issue is that the good homes are now really hard to find.  If a buyer wants to just buy a house and not a home, we have inventory but if you want a home, well get ready for a surprise. I could have said the exact same thing in 1990 or 1995, good homes are always in short supply. 

Buyers are starting to find that if they want value, location, amenities and good condition they need to be more realistic about what they want as the number of great cheap homes is dropping.  Short sales and foreclosures are alive and well, don’t fret, and we are not going to run out of either so if you have your heart set on a foreclosure or a short sale we have plenty.  

We have agents scrambling to find rentals in the better areas today, 18 months ago that was easy, but not today.  Before I go any further if the home is overpriced it is still overpriced.  Our market has zero tolerance for anything but priced on the money.  Have great value, location and amenities or the buyers will not even seriously look.  I need to say that before sellers start saying “how come no one is looking at my home if the numbers are getting better?”  Just a quick guesstimate but probably 70% of the non-distressed homes listed for sale today are overpriced and have about a 5% chance to sell at the sellers’ price.  Those are pretty awful numbers but that is not because of the market that is because sellers five years later do not want to give up on what once was.

If the trends continue, and it appears they will, 2011 can be our pivotal year.  2011 can be the year we turn the corner and opening the door to stabilize our market so in 2013 we can rack up an average growth of .05%-1.5% and possible by 2014 a possible 2+% growth.  Ok, ok, yes I know about the phantom inventory the banks have, I know about the current default numbers, yes I know about our short sales and yes, if you still believe that we are going to sit in the basement and the manure is going to get deeper, you are probably right.

I like the numbers we are seeing. Most people will not even read about these positive changes for six more months due to the lag in national real estate reporting.  And face it, bad news sells better than good news. I like the real numbers we are seeing of people moving to our area, I like the offers flowing into my office that say buyers are buying.  That I can work with, and so can you.

The next 60 days are going to be very important to all of us.  Sales need to keep pace with inventory or we will slide backwards. Let’s keep up the good work! 

Have a great spring!

The real estate tide is turning, albeit slowly

8 March, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of RISMedia:

Housing recovery may seem like a mirage in the desert of record foreclosures and steep unemployment, but history indicates that a more balanced market is in our future.

Real estate has always been and always will be cyclical. Recent numbers—namely gains in existing- and new-home sales, increasing activity among investors, upticks in housing starts and ongoing efforts to streamline short sales—offer a much-needed reminder that this downturn, too, shall pass.

The improvements we’re seeing might not be dramatic or even permanent just yet, but any step in the right direction is an important one toward restoring confidence among consumers and industry experts.

What’s Ahead
In the near term, 2011 will be better than 2010, but only slightly. In the years beyond, as new phases of the real estate cycle approach, we’ll see healthier trends rather than a return to the abnormal and artificial boom times of the early to mid-2000s.

The market ahead will be driven by hopeful buyers who are regaining their financial footing and building their savings: a generational wave of consumers just reaching their prime home-buying years; immigrants who’ve come to the United States eager to realize their American dream; and investors focusing on long-term wealth rather than short-term gains.

As the damage caused by defaults and foreclosures subsides, more and more homeowners will be managing responsible mortgage terms and affordable payments, and once again be selling homes with equity.

Start Fresh
For real estate professionals, it’s critical to be preparing and reaching out now to buyers and sellers in all situations, and positioning yourself to provide the most comprehensive and expert service you can. Don’t shy away from starting a new, better cycle in your career, with more coaching, new specialties and a renewed purpose.

If we all continue looking ahead, our businesses will be leaner and we’ll be wiser with the understanding that success doesn’t fall into our laps. It takes dedication, and sometimes sacrifices, to achieve goals in real estate—for professionals and consumers.

Sales are up as prices remain affordable

4 March, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of RISMedia:

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Department of the Treasury released the February 2011 edition of the Obama Administration’s Housing Scorecard. The latest housing figures show increased existing home sales as home affordability remains high, but officials caution that the market remains fragile, as prices are unsettled.

“In the face of the deepest economic recession and housing crisis in decades, the Obama Administration has taken unprecedented action to promote stability in the market—keeping millions of families in their homes and helping millions more to save money by refinancing. But the data clearly show that the market remains extremely fragile,” said HUD Assistant Secretary Raphael Bostic. “While we cannot stop every foreclosure, we know that many responsible homeowners are still fighting to make ends meet. Through the broad range of programs this Administration has put in place, we can put help in reach to those homeowners as early as possible.”

“Our housing market remains fragile. We know this from the data, but homeowners across the country can feel it too. That’s why this Administration remains committed to helping eligible homeowners avoid foreclosure where it makes economic sense to do so,” said acting Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability Tim Massad. “Every month, HAMP continues to help tens of thousands of additional families in a cost-effective manner. And by setting affordability standards and developing a framework for how mortgage servicers provide assistance to struggling families, HAMP has established critical protections for homeowners and has catalyzed improvements in modifications industry-wide.”

The February Housing Scorecard features key data on the health of the housing market including:

-The housing market remains fragile as data through January 2011 paint a mixed picture of recovery. Existing home sales ticked upward in January, but remained below levels seen in the first half of 2010. Mortgage delinquencies continued a downward trend compared to early 2010 and foreclosure starts and completions remain below peak. However, as lenders review internal procedures related to foreclosure processing, many foreclosure actions have been delayed. The decline is likely to be temporary as lenders eventually revise and resubmit foreclosure paperwork in the coming months.

-Administration efforts have been effective in blunting the effects of the deepest economic crisis since the Great Depression. Since April 2009, record low mortgage rates have helped more than 9.5 million homeowners to refinance, resulting in $18.1 billion in total borrower savings. However, home prices remain unsettled at this fragile stage of the recovery. More than 4.2 million modification arrangements were started between April 2009 and the end of January 2011—including nearly 1.5 million HAMP trial modification starts, more than 730,000 FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions and more than two million proprietary modifications under HOPE Now. While some homeowners may have received help from more than one program, the number of agreements offered was more than double the number of foreclosure completions for the same period (1.8 million).

Given the current fragility and recognizing that recovery will take place over time, the Administration remains committed to its efforts to prevent avoidable foreclosures and stabilize the housing market.

For more information, visit www.hud.gov.

Go green, it’s the law

3 March, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

 Have you ever heard of the State of Nevada Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Authority? Well you have now.  On January 1, 2011 a new law went into effect regarding disclosure of a homes’ energy efficiency/usage and a new form has been mandated to be completed at the time of sale. The form may be waived by the buyer, if they so choose. 

The form is called the Sellers Energy Consumption Evaluation Form.  It is four pages of very detailed information about the sellers’ energy usage and disclosure of any energy efficient appliances such as, furnaces, hot water heaters, light bulbs or lack thereof.

In the long run, it is probably a very good idea to highlight energy efficiency as homeowners become more aware of energy costs.  Unfortunately, the form is an information gathering device, given to a buyer who does not know how to interpret the information let alone know how to apply it to their purchase. 

It is up to the buyer to determine if the home they are buying is competitive with other homes in terms of energy efficiency.  I think it is only reasonable as the form becomes more common and is used more, that sooner or later one can reasonably expect to see a variance in property values (added or subtracted) based on their “greenness”.

The form makes no distinction whether Grandma has been living in the home, along with her four grandchildren, all under age 12 (imagine keeping Grandma’s room really warm and doing the laundry every day); compared to a similar home with just one couple that travels and works long hours and spend their weekends at their lake home (i.e. very little energy usage).   

It is suggested to all homeowners to start making changes now, while and when affordable, to start making those all-important energy efficiency upgrades.  For homeowners with homes over 15 years of age, I know that your HVAC (heating & cooling) systems work just fine, it may be well worth a serious look into the new hot water tanks or tank less systems,  as well as the new furnaces that are on the market today. Keep an eye out for the Energy Star label as an indicator of an energy efficient appliance.

Going green benefits all of us but with the new law it would be a shame to lose value in your home only because you did not know about the new law and its reasonable future effects on the market.  True, it may never affect a homes’ value but based on past experience, as buyers become more aware, it is reasonable to expect them to become much more sensitive to the age of HVAC systems, hot water tanks, appliances, lighting etc.

Questions?  Call me at 775-828-3292 or email me at david@dmorris.com and I can send you a copy of the new form.

Lending update

28 February, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of Vince Lotito, Prime Lending:

QUOTE OF THE WEEK…“We would like to live as we once lived, but history will not permit it.”–John F. Kennedy

INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE…Things do keep changing, but we all hope that by and large those changes mean progress. We certainly saw evidence of that in the housing market last week, as Existing Home Sales headed up in January for the third month in a row. They’ve now reached a 5.36 million annual rate, close to the long-term trend of 5.5 million and up over 5% from a year ago. This, as Martha Stewart says, is “a good thing,” since the supply of existing homes has now dropped to 7.6 months, close to the 6-month ideal, which favors neither buyers nor sellers.

The Case-Shiller home price index for the 20 largest metros was down in December, its sixth straight monthly decline since the tax credit ended. The media seemed thrilled to announce a “double dip” in housing prices, probably because they’ve been unable to use their “double dip” catch phrase for anything else. The facts, as usual, tell another story. Case-Shiller was down just 2.4% for the year, its smallest drop since the 2006 price peak. And some observers anticipate modest price gains this year. New Home Sales did fall 12.6% in January, which may have been due to the bad weather, though sales were up in the Northeast and Midwest and down in the West and South. Go figure. Inventories are now at their lowest level since 1967.

Rebuilding damaged credit

21 February, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of the New York Times, Tara Siegel Bernard:

Millions of consumers have fallen out of favor with the credit scoring gods. Some lost their jobs or were just overwhelmed by mounting debt. Others got caught up in the real estate bubble or had major medical bills. Whatever the reason, the rising number of foreclosures, short sales, late credit card payments and the ultimate credit sin — bankruptcies — have left black marks on credit reports most everywhere.

So what can these people do to repair their credit?

The simple answer is to focus on the information that is used to generate the all-powerful FICO score — the measure used most frequently by traditional lenders to determine creditworthiness. Its scale runs from 300 points to 850 points; the higher the score, the better your credit standing. “FICO is still the 500-pound gorilla,” said John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education at SmartCredit.com. “In 2011, the best way to get credit from the mainstream lenders is to have a good FICO score.”

Consumers can hope that the banks will eventually consider alternatives to the traditional FICO score, which was developed by Fair Isaac Corporation and has been in wide use for about two decades. After all, as banks regain their appetite for lending, they will be looking for ways to differentiate between borrowers with the same scores, some of whom are temporarily struggling and others who chronically have trouble with money.

For now, though, the FICO score reigns. The best antidote to a poor score is time. Still, there are a half dozen ways to speed the process, or, at the least, avoid even more credit trouble.

What to Do

ASSESS YOUR SITUATION Before you even start to think about rehabilitating your credit, make sure that you can pay your bills on time and not do any more harm. If keeping up with your credit card bills is still an issue, then call the issuer, explain your situation and try to negotiate payments you can afford. Ask the issuer how that will be reported to the major three credit bureaus: Not paid as agreed, which can hurt your score? Or will the new terms say that you are now paying as agreed?

“You have to get in writing that this is what they agreed to do,” said Mechel Glass, director of education at CredAbility, a nonprofit consumer credit counseling agency. Ditto for other providers, like utility companies.

Then, assess all the damage by getting a free copy of your credit report from each of the three major credit reporting bureaus through annualcreditreport.com. Each of the major credit bureaus — Equifax, Experian and TransUnion — generate their own FICO scores based on the data they collect. Two versions of your FICO score are also available for $19.95 each, through myFico.com.

How far your credit score has fallen will depend on where it started, as well as the frequency and severity of your credit mistakes. If you had almost perfect credit, but because of the loss of a job your credit card bills ended up at a collection agency, you can expect to lose anywhere from 80 to 150 points from your FICO score. A short sale or foreclosure? Both, Mr. Ulzheimer said, “would turn a FICO 790 into a FICO 590 overnight.”

CLEAN UP YOUR SCORE Start with the low-hanging fruit. Let’s say you were late paying a bill from a company that no longer exists, or a bank that has since merged with a larger institution. If the credit reporting bureaus cannot verify the accuracy of that black mark, they are required to remove it. “Not only does it have to be correct, but it has to be verifiable,” Mr. Ulzheimer said.

Next, focus on paying off the loans — namely, credit cards — that will help give your score the most lift. Paying off a mortgage, a student loan or other installment debts, like car loans, feels good but that won’t necessarily do much for your credit score.

You also want to get your so-called debt utilization rate into good shape. FICO considers how the total amount of debt on each of your credit cards compares with your total available credit. The credit score “elite” — that is, people with FICO scores above 760 — typically don’t have debts that exceed 7 percent of their available credit. But if you are at 50 percent and can get the rate down to 30 percent, that will help.

LEAVE A NOTE Because prospective employers may pull a copy of your credit report, consider adding the equivalent of a doctor’s note to each of your reports explaining your hardship, like a job loss. All three major credit bureaus allow you to add a brief statement through their Web sites. FICO doesn’t consider these statements when formulating scores, however, so don’t expect it to sway lenders.

GET SECURED CARDS It will obviously be hard to get a traditional credit card when you have a poor credit history. Secured cards, if used strategically, can help nurse your credit back to health more quickly. These cards require you to put a set amount of money in a bank account, say $250 or $500, which is used as collateral. And the amount of available credit should be equivalent to the amount on deposit.

“What is the most predictive and powerful in your score are the things you’ve done most recently,” Mr. Ulzheimer said. “That cuts both ways. If you add a secured card and you pay it religiously and the balance is low, it will help your score a lot more quickly than if you do nothing.”

But read the fine print before signing up. Consumer advocates said some unscrupulous card issuers have charged the security deposit to the card. And be sure the issuer reports your payment information to the big three credit bureaus, since not all do.

Curtis Arnold, the founder of CardRatings.com, recommended two cards, both of which report payments to the big three: the Orchard Bank Secured MasterCard, which has an attractive interest rate of 7.9 percent, waives the annual fee in the first year and charges a moderate $35 annually thereafter. He also likes the Citi Secured MasterCard, largely because it offers an interest rate on the security deposit equivalent to an 18-month certificate of deposit, which he says is an industry first.

TALK TO A CREDIT UNION These institutions may be more willing to work with members who have checkered histories. Their offerings vary, but they may be more likely to consider alternative credit scores, offer free credit counseling or have products tailored for people with poor credit histories. “Certainly, many credit unions have credit builder or rebuilder loans, often structured as a loan with a built-in savings component so that a person gradually builds up funds that can act as partial collateral,” said Clifford Rosenthal, the president of the National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions, a trade association representing credit unions in low- and moderate-income areas.

ALTERNATIVE VERIFICATION There are other credit reporting agencies and services that — for a monthly fee, and sometimes a hefty one — will collect your payment history from sources that aren’t included in your traditional credit report or FICO score. At this point, however, most mainstream lenders base their decisions on the big three bureaus’ reports and FICO scores. So you’re better off saving your money. “All of those companies say they will report your accounts to a credit bureau, and they may be doing that,” Mr. Ulzheimer said. “But if it is not the big three, then who cares?”

This could change, of course, as banks become more willing to lend and potentially open to using other means to identify promising borrowers. Lenders may begin to consider rental payment histories, for instance. Or they may be willing to look at alternative credit scores that incorporate payment information that doesn’t show up on traditional credit reports.

Or perhaps one lender will permit so-called shoe box credit: Did you know that if you walk into a lender with a box stuffed with receipts proving that you paid your cable bill, for instance, that they are required to consider it? They aren’t obliged to give you a loan, but the regulation says they must consider the information.

What to Avoid

CREDIT REPAIR OFFERS You may have seen the advertisements for credit repair companies on the Web. “We really tell our clients to stay away,” said Ms. Glass, of CredAbility. One re-emerging scam, she says, involves companies that claim they can clean up your credit. Some companies manage to do this for a limited time by disputing all of your accounts, sending letters to the bureaus claiming the accounts aren’t valid. But after the credit bureaus validate the accounts and debts, they reappear on your report and your score will plummet again.

Legitimate credit repair companies exist, and they can assist in disputes. But there’s nothing they can do that you can’t do yourself at little cost. Besides, these companies often besiege the bureaus with letters, and the bureaus are allowed to ignore what they believe are frivolous disputes. Be wary of companies that do not disclose in writing that you can do these tasks free on your own, that guarantee results or that try to charge you before they perform any services.

CERTAIN CARDS Despite the tighter credit environment, Chi Chi Wu, a staff lawyer at the National Consumer Law Center, said the center was still receiving complaints about credit cards aimed at people with poor credit histories.

“These cards are pitched as a way to build credit, but with these kind of steep fees and high interest rates, there is a good chance they will hurt,” she said.

Mortgage update

21 February, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of Vince Lotito, Prime Lending:

Quote of the week… “I’ve been blamed for just about everything that’s wrong with this country.”–Elvis Presley

We who work in the real estate and mortgage industries know exactly how Elvis felt. The same people who unfairly blamed us totally for the recession now look to us alone for signs the economic recovery has taken hold. They might want to remember the health of the housing market is directly dependent on the health of the jobs market, which is not under our control. In any case, everyone felt better last week when January Housing Starts were UP a surprising 14.6%. Even though starts are down 2.6% from a year ago, this still shows builders are more hopeful going forward. The boost came from multi-family units, though single-family starts were off a mere 1% for the month.

A lot of home buying activity is due to the affordability now out there. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a major bank reported their index shows home affordability in Q4 of 2010 at its highest level in 20 years. Their measure found that 73.9% of the new and existing homes sold in Q4 were affordable to families making the national median income of $64,400.

Business tip of the week… A big part of success is not giving up. Studies show that one trait shared by all very successful people is perseverance. They are persistent, determined, tenacious, pursuing a goal far beyond the point where the average person gets discouraged.

Economic summary from BofA

14 February, 2011 | Shauna Morris | No Comment

Courtesy of Kathy McAlpine of Bank of America:

The Labor Department reported that 36,000 jobs were created in January, a much lower number than anticipated. However, there were upward revisions to both November and December, which added another 40,000 jobs than previously reported.

But that’s not the only bit of good news in the report. The unemployment rate fell to 9%, down from 9.4% last month, rather than increasing as had been expected. In addition, the U6 unemployment report, which includes job seekers who haven’t actively looked for a job recently and those who have accepted part-time employment for economic reasons, fell to 16.1%, from the previous month of 16.7% and reflects the lowest level since April 2009.

So what does all of this mean when it comes to home loan rates?

It’s important to remember two things:

  • First, the Fed’s goals for their current Quantitative Easing policy (QE2) where $600 billion is being injected into the economy are to: (1) boost stock prices, (2) create inflation, and (3) lower the unemployment rate.
  • Second, while these goals are designed to stimulate our economy and keep our recovery moving forward, they are also unfriendly to bonds and home loan rates.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen evidence of all three goals: stocks have been improving, the unemployment rate has declined, and we’ve seen an increase in global unrest of late, not just in Egypt, but in other parts of the world as well and much of this centers around runaway inflation in commodities and food.